International Security

In Most Swing States, Democrats and Republicans Agree the US Should Continue Military Aid to Ukraine

Strong Bipartisan Support for Maintaining US Membership in NATO

August 28, 2024 – Amid debates about US international engagement, a new public consultation survey in the six swing states by the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) finds widespread bipartisan support for the US continuing to provide military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine. Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats support the US upholding the principle of collective security by helping to protect nations that are under attack; continuing to be a member of NATO; and continuing to abide by the longstanding international ban on nuclear testing.

This survey is the fourth in the Swing Six Issue Surveys series being conducted in the run-up to the November election in six swing states on major policy issues. Unlike traditional polls, respondents in a public consultation survey go through an online “policymaking simulation” in which they are provided briefings and arguments for and against each policy. Content is reviewed by experts on different sides to ensure accuracy and balance.

Director of the Program for Public Consultation, Steven Kull, commented, “Surveys have consistently shown that, while Americans don’t want the US to be the world policeman, they do want the US to work with other countries to uphold the international order and help protect nations from aggressors.”

Continue Military and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine

Among Republicans, majorities are in favor in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (56% to 60%), while in Michigan and Nevada they are evenly divided. However, majorities of Republicans in Michigan (57%) and Nevada (60%) find it at least “tolerable”. Nationally, 67% are in favor, including majorities of Republicans (57%) and Democrats (79%).

Before coming to their conclusion, respondents were informed in the briefing that the US has already provided Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid and that the European countries have provided an equivalent amount. Presented two arguments against providing aid– that European nations are responsible for taking care of this war, and that the US engagement risks escalation to nuclear war – both were found convincing about six-in-ten. But the two arguments in favor – that US engagement is necessary to prevent Russia from further aggression, and to uphold the international order based on national sovereignty – were both found convincing by larger majorities of around eight-in-ten.

FIRST ARGUMENT IN FAVOR
Russia has violated the central principle of the UN Charter and international law that says that nations should not invade other nations. The US and other countries have a duty to protect nations that are attacked. If we let Russia get away with this the whole international order will be at risk. When nations failed to stop Hitler’s invasion of Poland, it only encouraged him to go further. Clearly, the US, together with other nations, should uphold international law and help Ukraine.















FIRST ARGUMENT AGAINST
The US being involved in Ukraine is unnecessary, and risky, especially since Russia and the US have nuclear weapons. Russia has already reminded the world that it has nuclear weapons and implied it might use them before accepting defeat in Ukraine. Things could easily escalate. If the US aiding Ukraine increases the risk of nuclear war by even a small fraction, then it is not worth the US being involved in Ukraine.
















SECOND ARGUMENT IN FAVOR
It is important for US security, not just Europe’s, for Russia not to gain territory in Europe. If they are able to take over Ukraine, this will strengthen and embolden them. If they attack a NATO member that the US is committed to defending, like the Baltic states, it could easily lead the US into an all-out war with Russia that is likely to go nuclear.

SECOND ARGUMENT AGAINST
The US does not need to be involved in every global problem. This war is a European problem, and they should be responsible for dealing with it. The major nations in Europe – like the U.K., Germany, and France – have advanced militaries that are providing support to Ukraine and can provide more. Furthermore, the idea that any time a nation attacks another one, the international order is going to collapse, is unnecessarily alarmist.


The US continuing to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine – including food, shelter, and assistance to repair infrastructure – is favored by large bipartisan majorities in every swing state (71% to 75%), including 60% to 69% of Republicans and 76% to 88% of Democrats. Nationally, 74% are in favor (Republicans 65%, Democrats 84%).

High Priority to Uphold Collective Security

Bipartisan majorities say it should be a high priority for the US to uphold the principle of collective security, which says that when a country comes under attack, other countries should join together to help defend it, through military force and/or economic sanctions.  Support ranges from 75% to 81% in the swing states, including 70% to 77% of Republicans and 81% to 89% Democrats, as well as 80% nationally.

FIRST ARGUMENT IN FAVOR
Before World War II, nations frequently went to war with others in an effort to gain new territory. Since World War II this has occurred very rarely. This is in large part because countries have agreed that countries should not invade each other and that countries should join together to prevent any country from invading another. This is no time to abandon this principle that has been so important for preserving peace and security among world powers. If the countries of the world were to fall back into trying to invade each other it would lead countries to build up their militaries and would destabilize the world economy. It would likely lead more countries to try to get nuclear weapons which could lead to extraordinary destruction. It is clearly in the U.S. interest to promote and support the principle of collective security.



FIRST ARGUMENT AGAINST

The whole idea that the U.S. should play a role in helping defend countries from aggression might have made sense during the Cold War when the Soviet Union was a big threat and we wanted to make sure that no country would come into their orbit. But now, Russia is not a major threat and even China poses a limited threat to our vital interests. So, we should not feel that it is important for the U.S. to try to uphold the principle of collective security for the world. We cannot have confidence that other countries will be there to join us when the going gets rough. But other countries are always expecting the U.S. to step in. Too many countries have gotten lax thinking that they can count on the U.S. to defend them.


SECOND ARGUMENT IN FAVOR
The U.S. has been a key leader in upholding the principle of collective security and if it were to be perceived as backing away from this role, other countries would disengage too. Some nations would be likely to draw closer to Russia and China for protection. Potential aggressors would be emboldened, and the world would become less stable and much more dangerous. The principle of collective security has been effective in preventing major wars for more than 70 years. It has served U.S. interests by creating a more stable world that furthers economic development which has served U.S. interests. This is no time to abandon the principle of collective security and let the world drift back into a kind of jungle rule where countries throw around their military might to try to get advantages over each other.


SECOND ARGUMENT AGAINST
The fact is, nations will always try to use their military might to get advantages. It is unrealistic to think that this will change. What has happened over the last few decades is that the U.S. has been so powerful that it has been able to keep other countries in line, at least to some extent. But the U.S. can’t keep playing this role. The U.S. has plenty of its own problems to worry about. Basically, we should do what makes sense in terms of our own interests at any particular moment and let other countries look out for themselves.

Maintain US Membership in NATO

Respondents were given a briefing on the Western military alliance NATO and how it includes “a key section, called Article 5, which says that NATO members regard an attack on any member as an attack on all and that all members will defend any member that is attacked.” The US continuing to be part of NATO is favored by bipartisan majorities of 76% to 81% in the swing states, including 72% to 77% of Republicans and 83% to 89% of Democrats, as well as 78% nationally.

FIRST ARGUMENT IN FAVOR
While Russia is not as powerful as it was during the Cold War years, it still poses a major threat to the U.S., to its allies in Europe, and to other areas of the world as well. Russian president Vladimir Putin openly expresses regret that the Soviet Union ended and clearly has ambitions to expand Russian power. Russia has a major nuclear arsenal of over 6,000 weapons as well as major conventional military forces. Russia has occupied or invaded Ukraine on many occasions, most recently in 2022. It has also threatened Georgia. It is simply unacceptable for Russia to come to dominate Europe as it seems to want to do or to expand its power in other areas of the world as well. European countries have 1.7 million troops stationed in Europe and it’s very much in the U.S. interest to have those troops committed to the shared goal of containing Russia.


FIRST ARGUMENT AGAINST
Why exactly does the U.S. have to make this expensive commitment to defend Europe? The only real possible threat is from Russia and the idea that Russia might invade Europe is far-fetched and simply out of date. Russia has stated that it invaded Ukraine in part because it felt threatened by NATO trying to expand closer to Russia. Furthermore, Europe is far wealthier than Russia and already spends more than twice as much on its military than Russia. Why exactly do they need us? Remember, we are promising to be ready to go to war with Russia--which could well end up escalating to an all-out nuclear war--if any NATO member gets into conflict with Russia. Would we be ready to go to war over some little NATO country like Lithuania? If not, then we have no business being in this outdated alliance.


SECOND ARGUMENT IN FAVOR
Having U.S. and European countries tied closely together in a common bond is critical and NATO is an important means to that end. They are our primary partners in upholding principles of freedom and democracy in the world. We have a shared interest in maintaining an open trading system in the world as well as the one trillion dollars-worth of trade with Europe. Besides protecting Europe, NATO members participate in other military efforts that are important to the U.S., such as the operation in Afghanistan. Having our militaries highly integrated through the NATO structure makes such joint action more feasible and effective. NATO is not a burden on the U.S.--rather it is a partnership that allows us to share the effort to keep the world safe and prosperous.


SECOND ARGUMENT AGAINST
The ties between Europe and the U.S. are strong and multifaceted due to our shared values and interests. We can pursue those values and interests in many ways. We do not need to have a military alliance for that purpose. Having a military alliance that is clearly targeted at Russia is provocative. The fact that NATO keeps expanding by bringing in more and more countries that used to be allied with Russia, drawing closer to the Russian border, is destabilizing. Russia perceives it as a threat and as violating the understanding between the U.S. and Russia that occurred at the end of the Cold War. This sense of threat is a key reason that Putin and his aggressive stance have been elevated in Russia. If we were to phase out NATO, relations with Russia would likely improve and whatever threat is there would diminish.

Continue Moratorium on Nuclear Testing

Recently, the debate over nuclear weapons testing has been reignited by calls for the US military to restart testing. The US, Russia, China, France and the UK have all had moratoriums on testing for three decades, as part of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).  Bipartisan majorities of 73% to 78% in the swing states said the US should continue its moratorium on nuclear testing. Support includes 68% to 75% of Republicans and 75% to 83% of Democrats in the swing states, as well as 75% nationally.



STATE SURVEY REPORTS

In Arizona, Democrats and Republicans Agree
the US Should Continue Military Aid to Ukraine

Strong Bipartisan Support for Maintaining US Membership in NATO

COLLEGE PARK, MD – Amid debates about US international engagement, a new public consultation survey in [State], five other swing states, and nationwide by the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) finds bipartisan majority support for the US continuing to provide military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine. Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats support the US upholding the principle of collective security by helping to protect nations that are under attack; continuing to be a member of NATO; and continuing to abide by the longstanding international ban on nuclear testing. [Full Report]

This survey is the fourth in the Swing Six Issue Surveys series being conducted in the run-up to the November election in six swing states on major policy issues. Unlike traditional polls, respondents in a public consultation survey go through an online “policymaking simulation” in which they are provided briefings and arguments for and against each policy. Content is reviewed by experts on different sides to ensure accuracy and balance.

Director of the Program for Public Consultation, Steven Kull, commented, “Surveys have consistently shown that, while Americans don’t want the US to be the world policeman, they do want the US to work with other countries to uphold the international order and help protect nations from aggressors.”

Continue Military and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine
The US continuing to provide military aid to Ukraine – including weapons, ammunition, training and intelligence – is favored by a bipartisan majority of 66% of Arizonans, including 56% of Republicans and 82% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 64% to 71%, and is 67% nationwide.

Before coming to their conclusion, respondents were informed in the briefing that the US has already provided Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid and that the European countries have provided an equivalent amount. Presented two arguments against providing aid– that European nations are responsible for taking care of this war, and that the US engagement risks escalation to nuclear war – both were found convincing by small majorities of under six-in-ten. But the two arguments in favor – that US engagement is necessary to prevent Russia from further aggression, and to uphold the international order based on national sovereignty – were both found convincing by larger majorities of around eight-in-ten.

The US continuing to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine – including food, shelter, and assistance to repair infrastructure – is favored by 73% in Arizona, including 64% of Republicans and 86% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 71% to 75%, and is 74% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Uphold Collective Security Should Be a High Priority
A bipartisan majority of 79% of Arizonans say it should be a high priority for the US to uphold the principle of collective security, which says that when a country comes under attack, other countries should join together to help defend it, through military force and/or economic sanctions. This includes 77% of Republicans and 88% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 75% to 81% in all the swing states, and is 80% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Maintain US Membership in NATO
Respondents were given a briefing on the Western military alliance NATO and how it includes “a key section, called Article 5, which says that NATO members regard an attack on any member as an attack on all and that all members will defend any member that is attacked.” The US continuing to be part of NATO is favored by 80% of Arizonans, including 74% of Republicans and 89% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 76% to 81%, and is 78% nationwide.

Continue Moratorium on Nuclear Testing
Recently, the debate over nuclear weapons testing has been reignited by calls for the US military to restart testing. The US, Russia, China, France and the UK have all had moratoriums on testing for three decades, as part of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).
In Arizona, 74% say the US should continue its moratorium on nuclear testing, including 68% of Republicans and 82% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 73% to 78%, and is 75% nationwide. [
BAR GRAPH]

About the Survey
The Arizona survey was fielded July 19th through August 2nd, 2024 with 607 adults by the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy. Samples were obtained from multiple online opt-in panels, including Cint, Dynata and Prodege. Sample collection and quality control was managed by QuantifyAI under the direction of the Program for Public Consultation. The sample was pre-stratified and weighted by age, race, gender, education, income, metro/non-metro, marital status and home ownership to match the general adult population. The survey was offered in both English and Spanish. The confidence interval for the Arizona sample is +/-4.5%.

About the Program for Public Consultation
The Program for Public Consultation (PPC) at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, develops and conducts public consultation surveys, seeking to improve democratic governance by consulting representative samples of citizens on key public policy issues. It shares its findings with officials in government, the media, other academics, and the general public.

In Georgia, Democrats and Republicans Agree
the US Should Continue Military Aid to Ukraine

Strong Bipartisan Support for Maintaining US Membership in NATO

COLLEGE PARK, MD – Amid debates about US international engagement, a new public consultation survey in Georgia, five other swing states, and nationwide by the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) finds bipartisan majority support for the US continuing to provide military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine. Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats support the US upholding the principle of collective security by helping to protect nations that are under attack; continuing to be a member of NATO; and continuing to abide by the longstanding international ban on nuclear testing. [Full Report]

This survey is the fourth in the Swing Six Issue Surveys series being conducted in the run-up to the November election in six swing states on major policy issues. Unlike traditional polls, respondents in a public consultation survey go through an online “policymaking simulation” in which they are provided briefings and arguments for and against each policy. Content is reviewed by experts on different sides to ensure accuracy and balance.

Director of the Program for Public Consultation, Steven Kull, commented, “Surveys have consistently shown that, while Americans don’t want the US to be the world policeman, they do want the US to work with other countries to uphold the international order and help protect nations from aggressors.”

Continue Military and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine
The US continuing to provide military aid to Ukraine – including weapons, ammunition, training and intelligence – is favored by a bipartisan majority of 65% in Georgia, including 60% of Republicans and 73% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 64% to 71%, and is 67% nationwide.

Before coming to their conclusion, respondents were informed in the briefing that the US has already provided Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid and that the European countries have provided an equivalent amount. Presented two arguments against providing aid– that European nations are responsible for taking care of this war, and that the US engagement risks escalation to nuclear war – both were found convincing about six-in-ten. But the two arguments in favor – that US engagement is necessary to prevent Russia from further aggression, and to uphold the international order based on national sovereignty – were both found convincing by larger majorities of around [eight-in-ten.

The US continuing to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine – including food, shelter, and assistance to repair infrastructure – is favored by 71% in Georgia, including 69% of Republicans and 76% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 71% to 75%, and is 74% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Uphold Collective Security Should Be a High Priority
A bipartisan majority of 78% in Georgia say it should be a high priority for the US to uphold the principle of collective security, which says that when a country comes under attack, other countries should join together to help defend it, through military force and/or economic sanctions. This includes 76% of Republicans and 81% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 75% to 81% in all the swing states, and is 80% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Maintain US Membership in NATO
Respondents were given a briefing on the Western military alliance NATO and how it includes “a key section, called Article 5, which says that NATO members regard an attack on any member as an attack on all and that all members will defend any member that is attacked.” The US continuing to be part of NATO is favored by 76% of Georgians, including 73% of Republicans and 83% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 76% to 81%, and is 78% nationwide.

Continue Moratorium on Nuclear Testing
Recently, the debate over nuclear weapons testing has been reignited by calls for the US military to restart testing. The US, Russia, China, France and the UK have all had moratoriums on testing for three decades, as part of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).
In Georgia, 76% say the US should continue its moratorium on nuclear testing, including 75% of Republicans and 79% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 73% to 78%, and is 75% nationwide. [
BAR GRAPH]

About the Survey
The Georgia survey was fielded July 19 to August 2, 2024 with 592 adults by the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy. Samples were obtained from multiple online opt-in panels, including Cint, Dynata and Prodege. Sample collection and quality control was managed by QuantifyAI under the direction of the Program for Public Consultation. The sample was pre-stratified and weighted by age, race, gender, education, income, metro/non-metro, marital status and home ownership to match the general adult population. The survey was offered in both English and Spanish. The confidence interval for the [State] sample is +/-4.6%.

About the Program for Public Consultation
The Program for Public Consultation (PPC) at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, develops and conducts public consultation surveys, seeking to improve democratic governance by consulting representative samples of citizens on key public policy issues. It shares its findings with officials in government, the media, other academics, and the general public.

In Michigan, Two-Thirds Agree the US Should Continue Military Aid to Ukraine, Republicans Divided

Strong Bipartisan Support for Maintaining US Membership in NATO

COLLEGE PARK, MD – Amid debates about US international engagement, a new public consultation survey in Michigan, five other swing states, and nationwide by the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) finds majority support for the US continuing to provide military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine, with Republicans divided. Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats support the US upholding the principle of collective security by helping to protect nations that are under attack; continuing to be a member of NATO; and continuing to abide by the longstanding international ban on nuclear testing. [Full Report]

This survey is the fourth in the Swing Six Issue Surveys series being conducted in the run-up to the November election in six swing states on major policy issues. Unlike traditional polls, respondents in a public consultation survey go through an online “policymaking simulation” in which they are provided briefings and arguments for and against each policy. Content is reviewed by experts on different sides to ensure accuracy and balance.

Director of the Program for Public Consultation, Steven Kull, commented, “Surveys have consistently shown that, while Americans don’t want the US to be the world policeman, they do want the US to work with other countries to uphold the international order and help protect nations from aggressors.”

Continue Military and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine
The US continuing to provide military aid to Ukraine – including weapons, ammunition, training and intelligence – is favored by a majority of 66% in Michigan, including 84% of Democrats. Republicans in Michigan are divided, but when asked how acceptable it is to continue military aid to Ukraine, a majority of 57% said it is at least tolerable (rated 5 or higher on a 0-10 scale with 5 being “just tolerable”).
Across all the swing states, support ranges from 64% to 71%. Nationally, 67% favor, including 57% of Republicans and 79% of Democrats.

Before coming to their conclusion, respondents were informed in the briefing that the US has already provided Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid and that the European countries have provided an equivalent amount. Presented two arguments against providing aid– that European nations are responsible for taking care of this war, and that the US engagement risks escalation to nuclear war – both were found convincing by small majorities of under six-in-ten. But the two arguments in favor – that US engagement is necessary to prevent Russia from further aggression, and to uphold the international order based on national sovereignty – were both found convincing by larger majorities of around eight-in-ten.

The US continuing to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine – including food, shelter, and assistance to repair infrastructure – is favored by 74% in Michigan, including 60% of Republicans and 88% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 71% to 75%, and is 74% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Uphold Collective Security Should Be a High Priority
A bipartisan majority of 78% in Michigan say it should be a high priority for the US to uphold the principle of collective security, which says that when a country comes under attack, other countries should join together to help defend it, through military force and/or economic sanctions. This includes 70% of Republicans and 87% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 75% to 81% in all the swing states, and is 80% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Maintain US Membership in NATO
Respondents were given a briefing on the Western military alliance NATO and how it includes “a key section, called Article 5, which says that NATO members regard an attack on any member as an attack on all and that all members will defend any member that is attacked.” The US continuing to be part of NATO is favored by 78% of Michiganders, including 72% of Republicans and 84% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 76% to 81%, and is 78% nationwide.

Continue Moratorium on Nuclear Testing
Recently, the debate over nuclear weapons testing has been reignited by calls for the US military to restart testing. The US, Russia, China, France and the UK have all had moratoriums on testing for three decades, as part of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).
In Michigan, 77% say the US should continue its moratorium on nuclear testing, including 73% of Republicans and 79% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 73% to 78%, and is 75% nationwide. [
BAR GRAPH]

About the Survey
The Michigan survey was fielded July 19 to August 2, 2024 with 595 adults by the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy. Samples were obtained from multiple online opt-in panels, including Cint, Dynata and Prodege. Sample collection and quality control was managed by QuantifyAI under the direction of the Program for Public Consultation. The sample was pre-stratified and weighted by age, race, gender, education, income, metro/non-metro, marital status, home ownership and partisan affiliation so that Democrats and Republicans are roughly equal. The survey was offered in both English and Spanish. The confidence interval for the Michigan sample is +/-4.6%.

About the Program for Public Consultation
The Program for Public Consultation (PPC) at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, develops and conducts public consultation surveys, seeking to improve democratic governance by consulting representative samples of citizens on key public policy issues. It shares its findings with officials in government, the media, other academics, and the general public.

In Nevada, Nearly Two-Thirds Agree the US Should Continue Military Aid to Ukraine, Republicans Divided

Strong Bipartisan Support for Maintaining US Membership in NATO

COLLEGE PARK, MD – Amid debates about US international engagement, a new public consultation survey in [State], five other swing states, and nationwide by the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) finds majority support for the US continuing to provide military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine, with Republicans divided. Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats support the US upholding the principle of collective security by helping to protect nations that are under attack; continuing to be a member of NATO; and continuing to abide by the longstanding international ban on nuclear testing. [Full Report]

This survey is the fourth in the Swing Six Issue Surveys series being conducted in the run-up to the November election in six swing states on major policy issues. Unlike traditional polls, respondents in a public consultation survey go through an online “policymaking simulation” in which they are provided briefings and arguments for and against each policy. Content is reviewed by experts on different sides to ensure accuracy and balance.

Director of the Program for Public Consultation, Steven Kull, commented, “Surveys have consistently shown that, while Americans don’t want the US to be the world policeman, they do want the US to work with other countries to uphold the international order and help protect nations from aggressors.”

Continue Military and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine
The US continuing to provide military aid to Ukraine – including weapons, ammunition, training and intelligence – is favored by a bipartisan majority of 64% in Nevada, including 78% of Democrats. Republicans in Nevada are divided, but when asked how acceptable it is to continue military aid to Ukraine, a majority of 60% said it is at least tolerable (rated 5 or higher on a 0-10 scale with 5 being “just tolerable”). Across all the swing states, support ranges from 64% to 71%. Nationally 67% are in favor, including majorities of Republicans (57%) and Democrats (79%).

Before coming to their conclusion, respondents were informed in the briefing that the US has already provided Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid and that the European countries have provided an equivalent amount. Presented two arguments against providing aid– that European nations are responsible for taking care of this war, and that the US engagement risks escalation to nuclear war – both were found convincing about six-in-ten. But the two arguments in favor – that US engagement is necessary to prevent Russia from further aggression, and to uphold the international order based on national sovereignty – were both found convincing by larger majorities of over three-in-four.

The US continuing to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine – including food, shelter, and assistance to repair infrastructure – is favored by 73% in Nevada, including 64% of Republicans and 84% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 71% to 75%, and is 74% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Uphold Collective Security Should Be a High Priority
A bipartisan majority of 75% in Nevada say it should be a high priority for the US to uphold the principle of collective security, which says that when a country comes under attack, other countries should join together to help defend it, through military force and/or economic sanctions. This includes 72% of Republicans and 84% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 75% to 81% in all the swing states, and is 80% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Maintain US Membership in NATO
Respondents were given a briefing on the Western military alliance NATO and how it includes “a key section, called Article 5, which says that NATO members regard an attack on any member as an attack on all and that all members will defend any member that is attacked.” The US continuing to be part of NATO is favored by 76% of [State residents], including 73% of Republicans and 84% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 76% to 81%, and is 78% nationwide.

Continue Moratorium on Nuclear Testing
Recently, the debate over nuclear weapons testing has been reignited by calls for the US military to restart testing. The US, Russia, China, France and the UK have all had moratoriums on testing for three decades, as part of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).
In Nevada, 73% say the US should continue its moratorium on nuclear testing, including 70% of Republicans and 78% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 73% to 78%, and is 75% nationwide. [
BAR GRAPH]

About the Survey
The Nevada survey was fielded July 19 to August 2, 2024 with 604 adults by the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy. Samples were obtained from multiple online opt-in panels, including Cint, Dynata and Prodege. Sample collection and quality control was managed by QuantifyAI under the direction of the Program for Public Consultation. The sample was pre-stratified and weighted by age, race, gender, education, income, metro/non-metro, marital status and home ownership to match the general adult population. The survey was offered in both English and Spanish. The confidence interval for the [State] sample is +/-4.5%.

About the Program for Public Consultation
The Program for Public Consultation (PPC) at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, develops and conducts public consultation surveys, seeking to improve democratic governance by consulting representative samples of citizens on key public policy issues. It shares its findings with officials in government, the media, other academics, and the general public.

In Pennsylvania, Democrats and Republicans Agree
the US Should Continue Military Aid to Ukraine

Strong Bipartisan Support for Maintaining US Membership in NATO

COLLEGE PARK, MD – Amid debates about US international engagement, a new public consultation survey in Pennsylvania, five other swing states, and nationwide by the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) finds bipartisan majority support for the US continuing to provide military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine. Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats support the US upholding the principle of collective security by helping to protect nations that are under attack; continuing to be a member of NATO; and continuing to abide by the longstanding international ban on nuclear testing. [Full Report]

This survey is the fourth in the Swing Six Issue Surveys series being conducted in the run-up to the November election in six swing states on major policy issues. Unlike traditional polls, respondents in a public consultation survey go through an online “policymaking simulation” in which they are provided briefings and arguments for and against each policy. Content is reviewed by experts on different sides to ensure accuracy and balance.

Director of the Program for Public Consultation, Steven Kull, commented, “Surveys have consistently shown that, while Americans don’t want the US to be the world policeman, they do want the US to work with other countries to uphold the international order and help protect nations from aggressors.”

Continue Military and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine
The US continuing to provide military aid to Ukraine – including weapons, ammunition, training and intelligence – is favored by a bipartisan majority of 67% in Pennsylvania, including 57% of Republicans and 78% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 64% to 71%, and is 67% nationwide.

Before coming to their conclusion, respondents were informed in the briefing that the US has already provided Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid and that the European countries have provided an equivalent amount. Presented two arguments against providing aid– that European nations are responsible for taking care of this war, and that the US engagement risks escalation to nuclear war – both were found convincing by small majorities of under six-in-ten. But the two arguments in favor – that US engagement is necessary to prevent Russia from further aggression, and to uphold the international order based on national sovereignty – were both found convincing by larger majorities of over eight-in-ten.

The US continuing to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine – including food, shelter, and assistance to repair infrastructure – is favored by 74% in Pennsylvania, including 65% of Republicans and 83% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 71% to 75%, and is 74% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Uphold Collective Security Should Be a High Priority
A bipartisan majority of 80% in Pennsylvania say it should be a high priority for the US to uphold the principle of collective security, which says that when a country comes under attack, other countries should join together to help defend it, through military force and/or economic sanctions. This includes 73% of Republicans and 87% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 75% to 81% in all the swing states, and is 80% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Maintain US Membership in NATO
Respondents were given a briefing on the Western military alliance NATO and how it includes “a key section, called Article 5, which says that NATO members regard an attack on any member as an attack on all and that all members will defend any member that is attacked.” The US continuing to be part of NATO is favored by 80% of Pennsylvanians, including 73% of Republicans and 85% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 76% to 81%, and is 78% nationwide.

Continue Moratorium on Nuclear Testing
Recently, the debate over nuclear weapons testing has been reignited by calls for the US military to restart testing. The US, Russia, China, France and the UK have all had moratoriums on testing for three decades, as part of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).
In Pennsylvania, 78% say the US should continue its moratorium on nuclear testing, including 73% of Republicans and 83% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 73% to 78%, and is 75% nationwide. [
BAR GRAPH]

About the Survey
The Pennsylvania survey was fielded July 19 to August 2, 2024 with 593 adults by the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy. Samples were obtained from multiple online opt-in panels, including Cint, Dynata and Prodege. Sample collection and quality control was managed by QuantifyAI under the direction of the Program for Public Consultation. The sample was pre-stratified and weighted by age, race, gender, education, income, metro/non-metro, marital status and home ownership to match the general adult population. The survey was offered in both English and Spanish. The confidence interval for the Pennsylvania sample is +/-4.6%.

About the Program for Public Consultation
The Program for Public Consultation (PPC) at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, develops and conducts public consultation surveys, seeking to improve democratic governance by consulting representative samples of citizens on key public policy issues. It shares its findings with officials in government, the media, other academics, and the general public.

In Wisconsin, Democrats and Republicans Agree
the US Should Continue Military Aid to Ukraine

Strong Bipartisan Support for Maintaining US Membership in NATO

COLLEGE PARK, MD – Amid debates about US international engagement, a new public consultation survey in Wisconsin, five other swing states, and nationwide by the University of Maryland’s Program for Public Consultation (PPC) finds bipartisan majority support for the US continuing to provide military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine. Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats support the US upholding the principle of collective security by helping to protect nations that are under attack; continuing to be a member of NATO; and continuing to abide by the longstanding international ban on nuclear testing. [Full Report]

This survey is the fourth in the Swing Six Issue Surveys series being conducted in the run-up to the November election in six swing states on major policy issues. Unlike traditional polls, respondents in a public consultation survey go through an online “policymaking simulation” in which they are provided briefings and arguments for and against each policy. Content is reviewed by experts on different sides to ensure accuracy and balance.

Director of the Program for Public Consultation, Steven Kull, commented, “Surveys have consistently shown that, while Americans don’t want the US to be the world policeman, they do want the US to work with other countries to uphold the international order and help protect nations from aggressors.”

Continue Military and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine
The US continuing to provide military aid to Ukraine – including weapons, ammunition, training and intelligence – is favored by a bipartisan majority of 71% in Wisconsin, including 58% of Republicans and 85% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 64% to 71%, and is 67% nationwide.

Before coming to their conclusion, respondents were informed in the briefing that the US has already provided Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid and that the European countries have provided an equivalent amount. Presented two arguments against providing aid– that European nations are responsible for taking care of this war, and that the US engagement risks escalation to nuclear war – both were found convincing by small majorities. But the two arguments in favor – that US engagement is necessary to prevent Russia from further aggression, and to uphold the international order based on national sovereignty – were both found convincing by larger majorities of around eight-in-ten.

The US continuing to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine – including food, shelter, and assistance to repair infrastructure – is favored by 75% in Pennsylvania, including 67% of Republicans and 84% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 71% to 75%, and is 74% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Uphold Collective Security Should Be a High Priority
A bipartisan majority of 81% in [State] say it should be a high priority for the US to uphold the principle of collective security, which says that when a country comes under attack, other countries should join together to help defend it, through military force and/or economic sanctions. This includes 76% of Republicans and 89% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 75% to 81% in all the swing states, and is 80% nationwide. [BAR GRAPH]

Maintain US Membership in NATO
Respondents were given a briefing on the Western military alliance NATO and how it includes “a key section, called Article 5, which says that NATO members regard an attack on any member as an attack on all and that all members will defend any member that is attacked.” The US continuing to be part of NATO is favored by 81% of Wisconsinites, including 77% of Republicans and 89% of Democrats. Across all the swing states, support ranges from 76% to 81%, and is 78% nationwide.

Continue Moratorium on Nuclear Testing
Recently, the debate over nuclear weapons testing has been reignited by calls for the US military to restart testing. The US, Russia, China, France and the UK have all had moratoriums on testing for three decades, as part of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).
In Wisconsin, 73% say the US should continue its moratorium on nuclear testing, including 72% of Republicans and 75% of Democrats. Across all swing states, support ranges from 73% to 78%, and is 75% nationwide. [
BAR GRAPH]

About the Survey
The Wisconsin survey was fielded July 19 to August 2, 2024 with 597 adults by the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy. Samples were obtained from multiple online opt-in panels, including Cint, Dynata and Prodege. Sample collection and quality control was managed by QuantifyAI under the direction of the Program for Public Consultation. The sample was pre-stratified and weighted by age, race, gender, education, income, metro/non-metro, marital status and home ownership to match the general adult population. The survey was offered in both English and Spanish. The confidence interval for the Wisconsin sample is +/-4.6%.

About the Program for Public Consultation
The Program for Public Consultation (PPC) at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, develops and conducts public consultation surveys, seeking to improve democratic governance by consulting representative samples of citizens on key public policy issues. It shares its findings with officials in government, the media, other academics, and the general public.

About the Survey
The survey was fielded July 19 to August 2, 2024 with 4,628 adults by the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, including approximately 600 in each state of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and 1,211 nationally. Samples were obtained from multiple online opt-in panels, including Cint, Dynata and Prodege. Sample collection and quality control was managed by QuantifyAI under the direction of the Program for Public Consultation. Samples were pre-stratified and weighted by age, race, gender, education, income, metro/non-metro, marital status, home ownership, and, nationally and in one state, partisan affiliation to match the general adult population. The survey was offered in both English and Spanish. The confidence interval for the national sample is +/-3.2%, and for the state samples it ranges from +/-4.5% to 4.6%.


other swing six surveys